Our evidence suggests that increases in cigarette taxes are associated with small decreases in cigarette consumption and that it will take sizable tax increases, on the order of 100%, to decrease adult smoking by as much as 5%.
Source: A new paper by Callison and Kaestner (August 2012). The reduction in smoking worldwide (probably since the mid-1970s) is due to other reasons (more research and information on its link to cancer, social pressure, and regulation - banning smoking in public places, among others). In other words, if the objective is to reduce tobacco consumptions, other measures have been more effective.
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