. . . [W]hile there are no observable effects at the country level, earthquake exposure significantly decreases 5-year economic growth at the local level. Areas at lower stages of economic development suffer harder in terms of economic growth than richer areas. In addition, the analysis proposes an explanation to the paradox that there is a pronounced negative effect at the regional level while no effect appears at the country level. To this end, the effects of earthquake exposure is investigated not only for the impact zones, but also for areas with an average distance to the epicenter of around 100 km. The results indicate that the decrease in production in one part of a country is (partially) offset by an increase in production in the surrounding regions.That is from the new paper "Earthquakes and Economic Growth" by Peter Simonsen Fisker (March 2012). HT: Mark Lee.
Mar 29, 2012
Earthquakes and Economic Growth