Showing posts with label World economy. Show all posts
Showing posts with label World economy. Show all posts

Jan 11, 2012

What comes with economic development and growth

Some of the vulnerabilities result from growth itself. Development makes a society more mobile, more demanding, and better educated and informed. It also changes the nature of the demands: richer people naturally seek a degree of personal autonomy and engagement in public life. Their concerns also change: China’s income per head is now at levels that have spawned powerful environmental anxieties elsewhere. Thus, a revolution of rising aspirations, reinforced by the new information technologies, constrains what a government can hope to get away with, even in a one-party state.
That is from this interesting article by Martin Wolf where he discusses if rapid-growing emerging-economies will be able to pull ahead the world economy. Emerging economies are also vulnerable, he argues. Wolf does not really talk much about the innovation that can come out of these emerging economies, which might have important world-wide spill-over effects. We are witnessing a reconfiguration of economic structure. The competitive advantages of countries are being redefined. 
Wolf asks:
An important additional question is whether sustained growth of emerging countries might pull the high-income countries out of their current sluggishness. The answer is: no. [I am not so sure, it seems he is answering the question too fast . . . ]

Sep 11, 2011

Debt: Three regions of the world

This explains partially why the world economy is turning around in terms of economic performance. Excessive debt by government in the developed world vs governments in the developing word. Remember that the 1980s was the lost decade for many countries in Latin America and Africa. It was due to excessive debt and the increase in the prices of oil. Alas, a lost decade is on its way for developed economies. Source (HT: Paul Krugman).